Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Bayimbet S. (Kaz)


	Yelimay Semey		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.00	5.50
	1.45	4.25	5.7	Watch
	1.46	4.57	5.57
	1.36	5.12	6.44	Watch
	1.39	4.45	5.3
	1.45	4.64	6.22
	1.42	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.46 ↑ (3.86)	5.76 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
63.8%

Draw
20.4%

Zhetysu
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yelimay Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Konovalov I. (G) 20. Ashirbek A. 26. Tanasijevic S. 15. Mittendorfer M. 5. Belancic M. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tulubay A. 19. Zhaksylykov A. 7. Murtazaev R. (C)	88. Sicaci S. (G) 5. Orynbassar R. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 8. Adakhadziev A. 23. Baltabekov A. (C) 21. Zhakipbayev M. 9. Abzalov S. 27. Zivanovic M.
Substitutes
2. Adambayev A. 88. Baygaliev A. 89. China 9. Murillo R. 8. Omatay M. 18. Orazov R. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 4. Zhumakhanov A.	31. Akhmetov A. 77. Anuarbekov N. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 90. Jovanovic S. 17. Nurbol N. 22. Podymskiy D. (G)
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Zivanovic M. ⚽, Baltabekov A. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Placca F. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Murtazaev R. ⚽,
26', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14).

In recent matches, Yelimay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zhetysu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Yelimay is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
06.09.26	Astana - Yelimay Semey	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWT
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Zhetysu - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ulytau - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
08.08.26	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
11.04.26	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:1
26.07.25	Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu	3:0
26.04.25	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:3
03.10.24	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	2:0
30.06.24	Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu	1:1

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