Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)


	Atyrau		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	2.52	3	2.78	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.74
	2.55	3.03	2.74	Watch
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.66	3.14	2.66	Watch
	2.46	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.42)	3 ↑ (2.94)	2.72 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
36.1%

Draw
30.4%

Zhetysu
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Atyrau - Zhetysu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 21. Orynbasar D. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 20. Boranshiev A. 15. Ofori E. 4. Rabiu M. 18. Trufanov Y. 9. Abdulla A. 44. Maksimovic D.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 8. Adakhadziev A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 23. Baltabekov A. (C) 17. Nurbol N. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.
Substitutes
47. Abdumansur H. 27. Berdesh N. 14. Dorofeev K. 10. Dzhumatov R. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 90. Pantelic D. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 8. Stanic M. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 25. Zhumagali S.	9. Abzalov S. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 7. Muzhikov S. 5. Orynbassar R. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 21. Zhakipbayev M.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Abdulla A. 🟨,
19', Baltabekov A. 🟨,
23', Kashken D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Kalmuratov K. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Maksimovic D. 🟨,
45+3', Trufanov Y. 🟨,
45+8', Boranshiev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Trufanov Y. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
46', Baltabekov A. ↓, Muzhikov S. ↑,
46', Kashken D. ↓, Abzalov S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Abzalov S. ⚽,
57', Abdulla A. ↓, Pantelic D. ↑,
68', Nurbol N. ↓, Orynbassar R. ↑,
76', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
80', Ofori E. ↓, Stanic M. ↑,
80', Maksimovic D. ↓, Henrique ↑,
88', Khvalko E. 🟨,
90+3', Muzhikov S. 🟨,
90+9', Orynbasar D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Last Results with these Odds

Atyrau - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.03%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Zhetysu - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Zhetysu - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
17.08.25	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0
17.05.25	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1
03.11.24	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:2
30.03.24	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:1
30.07.23	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:1

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