Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kaspiy Aktau		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.00	4.10	1.42
	6.75	4.25	1.32	Watch
	7	4.35	1.49
	6.5	4.66	1.39	Watch
	6.85	3.85	1.42
	6.80	4.57	1.43	Watch
	6.2	4.2	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (7.34)	4.28 ↑ (3.76)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
13.9%

Draw
21.4%

Ordabasy
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

24.5%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

24%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ordabasy will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. (C) 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 29. Bekmyrza A. 13. Serikbay M. 15. Epton D. 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. (C) 3. Kilama G. 55. Amanovic A. 5. Antic N. 77. Abagna D. 23. Nurymbet A. 16. Capatina M. 10. Astanov E. 28. Johnsen B. 19. Leo Natel
Substitutes
1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 55. Elemes N. 27. Esimbekov D. 7. Kabylan B. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 18. Kucheriavyi M. 23. Nabikhanov A. 93. Sylla K. 10. Umaev I. 47. Usenov D.	24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 15. Amir Z. 9. Everton 44. Keita T. 25. Maliy S. 27. Serik N. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y. 8. Zhaksybaev U.
Coaches
Shoytymov E.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Klimovich V. ⚽, Sedko P. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Johnsen B. ⚽, Astanov S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
46', Serikbay M. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
55', Astanov S. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Abylaykhan R. ⚽,
62', Nurymbet A. ↓, Maliy S. ↑,
63', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
66', Sedko P. ↓, Esimbekov D. ↑,
76', Amanovic A. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
76', Capatina M. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Sylla K. ⚽,
83', Epton D. ↓, Nabikhanov A. ↑,
83', Ndombasi N. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
87', Astanov E. 🟨,
88', Sylla K. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Amir Z. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 1.

In recent matches, Kaspiy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ordabasy is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ordabasy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Zhenis - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.26	Ordabasy - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ulytau - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0
Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	3:0
Kazakh Premier League
29.10.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	1:0
04.03.23	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1
04.07.22	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	4:1
03.04.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	2:1
27.09.21	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1

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