Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe)

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aktobe		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	3.50	5.00
	1.58	3.50	4.50	Watch
	1.59	3.85	5.27
	1.6	3.82	5.04	Watch
	1.54	3.75	5.15
	1.65	3.67	5.42
	1.65	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.66 ↑ (3.31)	5.03 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
56.9%

Draw
24.9%

Zhetysu
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aktobe - Zhetysu Predictions

Users Predictions: Aktobe will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 5. Kairov B. (C) 23. Erlanov T. 18. Ordets I. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 14. Pibe 31. Tanzharikov A. 6. Atanasov J. 12. Topalov D. 17. Nani 11. Shushenachev A.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 8. Adakhadziev A. 23. Baltabekov A. 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 7. Muzhikov S. (C)
Substitutes
21. Alvarez P. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 19. Laturnus V. 3. Mitrovic D. 22. Seydakhmet E. 7. Sosah D. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 77. Zaria G.	31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 50. Larin D. 17. Nurbol N. 5. Orynbassar R. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.
Coaches
Tarkovic S.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Nani 🟨,
27', Kashken D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Ordets I. ⚽, Nani (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kairov B. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
46', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
51', Pibe 🟨,
58', Abzalov S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
64', Baltabekov A. 🟨,
65', Topalov D. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
74', Dobay A. ↓, Nurbol N. ↑,
82', Muzhikov S. ↓, Anuarbek S. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', Erlanov T. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Baltabekov A. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Nani ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
90', Kashken D. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Zaria G. ⚽,
90+10', Atanasov J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aktobe is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Last Results with these Odds

Aktobe - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Aktobe - Astana	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTT
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Altai Semey - Zhetysu	3:3 ✺
13.06.26	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	2:2 ✺
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0
24.08.25	Aktobe - Zhetysu	3:2
25.05.25	Zhetysu - Aktobe	2:1
15.09.24	Aktobe - Zhetysu	3:0
28.04.24	Zhetysu - Aktobe	2:1
Kazakh Cup
14.04.24	Aktobe - Zhetysu	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
29.10.23	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:2

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