Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Kapital Bank Arena (Sumgayit)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Estonia	Soccernet TV
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zira		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	12	Watch
	1.23	5.75	10.50
	1.21	4.95	16.5	Watch
	1.23	5.34	16.07
	1.21	6.23	13.18	Watch
	1.21	4.85	15
	1.22	6.35	13.3	Watch
	1.22	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.19)	5.6 ↓ (6.7)	13.57 ↓ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
76.5%

Draw
16.6%

Paide LM
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.6%

14.1%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Zira - Paide LM Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zira: 72.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bayramov A. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 20. Djibrilla I. 93. Konate B. 17. Vieirinha 21. Guima 22. Guseynov A. 9. Volkovi D. 7. Aydin E.	99. Jarju E. (G) 7. Tur E. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 2. Lilander M. 10. Miller M. 28. Hoim O. (C) 11. Sohna M. P. 77. Luts D. 30. Badamosi A. 19. Luts S.
Substitutes
14. Alicanov E. 27. Bayere Junior L. 77. Bogomolskiy E. 29. Digbeu C. 57. Haciyev Y. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 8. Ibrahimli I. 11. Martins Junior 10. Papunashvili G. 72. Quliyev H. (G) 2. Seydiyev A. 23. Smith D.	4. Andrade 9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 6. Daniel Cabral 14. Jobarteh M. 12. Meerits M. (G) 24. Nigula R. 8. Ojamaa H. 20. Piht K. 56. Sapp M. (G) 21. Smirnov R.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Laurikainen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Aydin E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Luts D. 🟨,
62', Badamosi A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
62', Luts D. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Anier H. ⚽, Ojamaa H. (A),
72', Miller M. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
72', Guima ↓, Bayere Junior L. ↑,
72', Guseynov A. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
75', Luts S. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
80', Aydin E. ↓, Martins Junior ↑,
80', Vieirinha ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
83', Martins Junior 🟨,
89', Konate B. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Paide is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zira is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Paide LM - Zira	1:0 ✺
16.07.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira	0:3 ✺
08.07.26	Zira - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Paide LM - Zira	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Paide LM - Hegelmann Litauen	3:0 ✺
09.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Paide LM - Zira	1:0

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