Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Germany	Laola1
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	ESPN
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Twente		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.25
	1.4	4.3	6.8	Watch
	1.43	4.91	6.66
	1.43	5.04	6.51	Watch
	1.41	4.75	6.35
	1.5	4.51	6.19	Watch
	1.41	4.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	4.63 ↑ (4.13)	6.3 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
65%

Draw
20.2%

Qarabağ Agdam
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	12.5%	4.2%

Twente - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 43. Nijstad R. 29. Adelgaard A. 6. Zerrouki R. 42. Weidmann D. 7. Pjaca M. 11. Rots D. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. Weghorst W.	23. Zlomislic M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 55. Huseynov B. (C) 4. Varkonyi B. 5. Langa B. 88. Lobato S. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 20. Kady Borges 7. Mouaddib J. 22. Qurbanly M.
Substitutes
38. Bruns M. 16. Drommel J. (G) 14. Hlynsson K. 4. Kjolo M. 24. Kurowski K. 10. Lammers S. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 12. Peixoto G. 19. Taha Y. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.	49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 18. Dani Bolt 99. Kochalski M. (G) 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 9. Montiel J. 13. Mustafazada B.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Propper R. 🟨,
28', Adelgaard A. 🟨,
28', Matheus Silva 🟨,
34', Weidmann D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Propper R. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽, Qurbanly M. (A),
58', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
61', Pjaca M. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
61', Weghorst W. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
66', Rots D. 🟨,
75', Qurbanly M. ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
83', Adelgaard A. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
83', Weidmann D. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Twente is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Twente won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Twente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Twente: 2.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.26	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Twente	3:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Heerenveen - Twente	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Twente - DAC Dunajská Streda	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Genk - Twente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLWL
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Qarabağ Agdam - CSKA Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
28.08.14	Twente - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1
21.08.14	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	0:0

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