Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: Premier League - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Zira		Səbail

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.75
	1.38	4.1	7.8	Watch
	1.41	4.09	9.61
	1.4	3.92	8.37	Watch
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.38	4.2	7.38	Watch
	1.38	4.1	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.07 ↓ (4.28)	8.17 ↓ (8.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
66.3%

Draw
22.5%

Səbail
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.3%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Zira - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bayramov A. (G) 11. Ahmadzada R. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 70. Djibrilla I. 17. Gomis I. 8. Ibrahimli I. 3. Mutsinzi A. 10. Papunashvili G. 23. Raphael Utzig 4. Ruan Renato 19. Soumah S.	1. Quliyev H. (G) 11. Abdullazada R. 14. Allouch S. 20. Celik M. 3. Lytvyn D. 7. Maddi 96. Muradov I. 74. Nabiyev Y. (C) 4. Nikolic M. 99. Nshuti I. 5. Sofir G.
Substitutes
5. Acka S. 14. Alicanov E. 21. Hacyly H. 7. Isayev M. 18. Juninho Maranhao 6. Kuliyev E. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 29. Nuriyev C. 97. Tiago Silva (G) 90. Volkovi D. 15. Zebli P.	22. Abbasov M. 19. Abdullayev S. 18. Ahmadov S. 44. Bilali A. 10. Gomis D. 8. Larrucea G. 97. Mammadov O. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 12. Mustabazada A. (G) 77. Nabiyev F. 83. Quliyev N. 16. Rustamov E.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Huseynov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Djibrilla I. ↓, Isayev M. ↑,
66', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
67', Nshuti I. ↓, Gomis D. ↑,
73', Allouch S. 🟥,
77', Mutsinzi A. ↓, Alicanov E. ↑,
77', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Juninho Maranhao ↑,
80', Maddi ↓, Abbasov M. ↑,
80', Abdullazada R. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
90+1', Quliyev H. 🟨,
90+2', Muradov I. ↓, Quliyev N. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Ruan Renato ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zira won 5.

Recent matches Zira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Səbail is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Səbail could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zira is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Zira won 16 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38:13 (average 1.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Zira won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:6 (average 2.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.03.25	Turan Tovuz - Zira	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
28.02.25	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.02.25	Zira - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sumgayit - Zira	0:3 ✺
10.02.25	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.03.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
27.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.02.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Səbail	0:0 ✺
17.02.25	Səbail - Sabah	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
21.12.24	Səbail - Zira	0:1
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1
25.05.24	Zira - Səbail	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
08.02.24	Zira - Səbail	3:0
30.01.24	Səbail - Zira	1:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.01.24	Səbail - Zira	0:0
28.10.23	Zira - Səbail	2:2

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