Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Znicz Biała Piska		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.75	1.82
	3.49	4.16	1.72
	3.87	4.33	1.67	Watch
	3.46	3.8	1.83	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.7)	3.91 ↑ (3.66)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Biała Piska
27.1%

Draw
23.4%

Mławianka Mława
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

24.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Biała Piska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Biała Piska's form might have worsened.

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mławianka Mława's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Biała Piska than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Biała Piska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mławianka Mława, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Znicz Biała Piska - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
76', 1 - 1, Stryjewski Ma. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Cegielka M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Stryjewski Mi. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Znicz Biała Piska is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mławianka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mławianka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Biała Piska
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.25	Broń Radom - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Widzew Łódź II	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Znicz Biała Piska	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLL
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLT

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