Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.4	3.25
	2.1	3.5	3.43
	2.07	3.48	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.02	3.3	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	3.34 ↓ (3.58)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
44.8%

Draw
27.4%

Górnik Łęczna
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Górnik Łęczna (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (C) 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 25. Konieczny D. 7. Sokol D. 20. Borecki M. 10. Ciepiela B. 11. Moskwik P. 22. Tabara K. 29. Bak D. 9. Majewski R.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 3. Holownia M. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 71. Nowogonski K. 10. Deja A. 30. Akhmedov B. 19. Biedrzycki B. 38. Myszor J. 11. Tkacz D. 9. Paryzek P.
Substitutes
3. Bartoszewicz A. 17. Kazimierczak A. 21. Mak M. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 6. Pawlik M. 8. Proczek T. 35. Redlinski A. 30. Yuzvak A.	29. Gucek L. 8. Kryeziu E. 23. Ogaga D. 88. Osipiuk O. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 37. Stepniak J. 7. Wolsztynski R.
Coaches
Smolarow L.	Shatalov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Ciepiela B. ⚽, Majewski R. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Bak D. ⚽, Borecki M. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Holownia M. ⚽, Deja A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Borecki M. 🟨,
69', Paryzek P. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
70', Tkacz D. ↓, Ogaga D. ↑,
72', Ciepiela B. ↓, Yuzvak A. ↑,
72', Borecki M. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Jaroszynski P. ⚽,
81', Konieczny D. ↓, Bartoszewicz A. ↑,
90', Moskwik P. ↓, Mak M. ↑,
90+1', Holownia M. ↓, Gucek L. ↑,
90+3', Koprowski O. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 1.

Recent form of Znicz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Górnik Łęczna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Znicz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pruszkow: 11.59% Leczna: 6.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
18.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stal Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
01.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
18.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:3
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	1:2
Polish Division 1
17.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
02.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
Club Friendly
22.08.20	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	0:1

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