Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 3

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)


	Znicz Pruszków		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.6
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.55	3.05	2.7
	2.82	3.22	2.64
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.65	3.32	2.52
	2.55	3.3	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.39)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.59 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
35.5%

Draw
28.8%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Znicz: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mleczko M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 3. Yukhymovych D. 47. Blyszko W. 10. Grudzinski M. 46. Wawszczyk J. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Tkachuk Y. 6. Pomorski K. (C) 19. Czarnowski P. 11. Moskwik P.	33. Kos M. (G) 23. Matynia H. 27. Jonczy D. 2. Bykov O. 96. Calinski P. 55. Karwot M. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 77. Wrzesinski K. 17. Valencia J. 88. Troc A. 9. Bilinski K.
Substitutes
79. Bucko W. 13. Cegielka M. 16. Jannasz S. 26. Kendzia F. . Krocz S. 12. Misztal P. (G) 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 7. Wojcicki J.	28. Bebenek K. 14. Bonecki S. 10. Camara J. 13. Dalic V. 18. Guezen D. 20. Klups T. 3. Pavic A. 16. Ryndak D. 87. Siuta K. (G)
Coaches
Misiura M.	Gorecko K.

Preview

Znicz is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Znicz have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Znicz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
29.07.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Znicz Pruszków - Resovia Rzeszów	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	3:3 ✺
12.07.23	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
08.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWTWT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
29.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
21.07.23	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
05.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
01.04.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	0:3
03.09.16	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4
Polish Division 2
24.05.15	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
30.10.14	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	3:2

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