Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 2

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.3
	2.85	3.25	2.25
	3.05	3.35	2.2
	3.04	3.47	2.34
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.38	2.27
	3.05	3.35	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
31.2%

Draw
28%

Wisła Płock
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 16. Ryndak D. 2. Bykov O. 27. Jonczy D. 3. Pavic A. 14. Bonecki S. 28. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 77. Wrzesinski K. 18. Guezen D. 88. Troc A. 9. Bilinski K.	1. Kaminski K. (G) 24. Niepsuj D. 5. Czajka B. 77. Szymanski J. 16. Hiszpanski F. 23. Lesniak F. 14. Szwoch M. 11. Spremo M. 32. Gerbowski F. 30. Sreckovic N. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
. Bebenek K. 96. Calinski P. 10. Camara J. 13. Dalic V. 55. Karwot M. 20. Klups T. . Matynia H. 87. Siuta K. (G) 17. Valencia J.	2. Biernat M. 7. Cielemecki R. 21. Drapinski I. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 10. Janus K. 67. Strozik S. 28. Szczutowski A. 6. Witek J. 27. Zynek B.
Coaches
Gorecko K.	Saganowski M.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wisła Płock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wisła Płock have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
21.07.23	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
05.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWWT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
23.07.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Puskás Academy - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
04.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.05.19	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
13.04.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	1:3
10.11.18	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
Polish Division 1
22.11.15	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1
02.08.15	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	0:1

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