Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ukraine	13:00	UPL TV
International	10:00	Onefootball


	Zorya Luhansk		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.85	1.6
	5.41	3.86	1.64
	6.32	4.42	1.55	Watch
	5.15	3.8	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (5.13)	3.98 ↑ (3.92)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
17.2%

Draw
23.8%

Polissya Zhytomyr
59.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

24.2%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zorya Luhansk - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Polissya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 44. Perduta I. 55. Jordan 4. Eskinja G. 47. Vantukh R. 77. Kushnirenko B. 6. Popara D. 22. Micin P. 9. Slesar A. 28. Budkivsky P. (C) 27. Jelavic D.	21. Bushchan G. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 16. Krasniqi I. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 7. Nazarenko O. 18. Andriyevski O. 14. Emerllahu L. 45. Bragaru M. 95. Krasnopir I.
Substitutes
88. Bah S. 21. Basic J. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 11. Gorbach I. 5. Janjic A. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 23. Malysh N. 19. Salenko R. 12. Turbayevskyi M. (G) 70. Verley R. 17. Zadorozhnyi F.	27. Fedor O. 9. Filippov O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 35. Koberniuk K. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 3. Lucas Taylor 31. Maisuradze G. 88. Panchyshyn B. 19. Shepelev V. 98. Talko D. (G) 22. Veleten V.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Eskinja G. 🟨,
31', Budkivsky P. 🟨,
34', Skrypnyk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bragaru M. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
58', Emerllahu L. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
69', Jelavic D. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,
69', Kushnirenko B. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
77', Babenko R. 🟨,
77', Micin P. ↓, Dryshlyuk K. ↑,
83', Nazarenko O. ↓, Veleten V. ↑,
84', Slesar A. ↓, Verley R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Zorya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polissya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zorya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Polissya is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	10	8	1	1	23:8	15	25
7	FK Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15

Outrights of Ukrainian Premier League for now

Polissya Zhytomyr: 26.51%

Last Results with these Odds

Polissya Zhytomyr - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
12.05.26	Oleksandriya - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Rukh Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWL
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
12.05.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
30.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	2:0
17.05.25	Zorya Luhansk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
25.11.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	1:1
05.05.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	1:1
28.10.23	Zorya Luhansk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1

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