Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Zulte Waregem		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.6
	2.16	3.5	3.3
	2.04	3.45	3.35
	2.09	3.63	3.58
	1.95	3.5	3.7
	2.1	3.68	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.48 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
46%

Draw
26.8%

Mouscron
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

21.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zulte Waregem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mouscron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	20%	28%

Zulte Waregem - Mouscron Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Mouscron will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waregem: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League).

Zulte Waregem has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mouscron has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zulte Waregem is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mouscron is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zulte Waregem is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Zulte Waregem won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulte Waregem won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.12.20	Eupen - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
26.12.20	Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Royal Antwerp - Zulte Waregem	0:1 ✺
04.12.20	Zulte Waregem - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWLWT
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.20	KV Mechelen - Mouscron	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Standard Liège - Mouscron	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:2 ✺
12.12.20	Mouscron - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
08.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.08.20	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	0:1
16.02.20	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	1:2
28.09.19	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	2:2
05.05.19	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	3:0
13.04.19	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	2:2
08.12.18	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	0:0
27.10.18	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	2:2

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