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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège 66%
Draw 21.3%
Mouscron 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
20.7%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
11.3%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-29.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.1%
8.7%
15.2%
Standard Liège - Mouscron Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). Mouscron will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 63.8% – 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Europa League Group) and 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League).
Standard has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Mouscron has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Standard is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mouscron is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Standard is absolute favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Standard won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Standard won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-7.
Watch
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