Match Info

Date: 15 December 2020, Tuesday


	Mouscron		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3	3.7	2.25
	2.95	3.65	2.28
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	3.09	3.61	2.31
	2.9	3.4	2.3
	2.94	3.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
31.9%

Draw
26.5%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

19.1%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mouscron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oud-Heverlee Leuven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mouscron - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Proximus League (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Championship Group)).

Mouscron has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leuven has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Mouscron is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leuven is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mouscron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.12.20	Mouscron - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
08.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Beveren - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	Mouscron - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLLWT
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.12.20	Kortrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:3 ✺
08.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:2 ✺
23.11.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	2:0
18.05.18	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:0
21.04.18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	3:1
20.02.16	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
Belgian Cup
02.12.15	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.10.15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	1:1
18.05.14	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0

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