Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 39

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.85	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3	3.72	2.35
	2.96	3.69	2.36
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.97	3.56	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.26 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
32.4%

Draw
26.4%

Montedio Yamagata
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kanazawa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shirai Y. (G) 25. Kojima M. 39. Shoji H. 38. Yamamoto N. 27. Leo Bahia 15. Okuda K. 17. Kajiura Y. 8. Fujimura K. 7. Kato J. 9. Hayashi M. 11. Sugiura K.	1. Goto M. (G) 26. Kawai A. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Noda H. 41. Ono M. 29. Takae L. 18. Minami S. 49. Goto Y. 42. Issaka Z. 11. Fujimoto Y. 19. Miyagi T.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 20. Kato T. 26. Kimura Y. 36. Miura M. (G) 2. Nagamine Y. 18. Onohara K. 35. Son T.	9. Dellatorre 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 8. Konishi Y. 3. Kumamoto Y. 36. Takahashi J. 10. Tiago Alves 24. Yokoyama R.
Coaches
Yanagishita M.	Watanabe S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 2.

Kanazawa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montedio Yamagata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Montedio Yamagata to win the game is with odds 2.37.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Kanazawa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
08.10.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Iwaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
08.10.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
13.08.22	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:1
21.05.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
28.11.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
26.06.21	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:1
25.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:0
19.08.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata	1:1

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