Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 35

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.63	4	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.3	5.39
	1.65	4.03	4.71	Watch
	1.6	4	4.2
	1.61	4.05	4.69	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	3.98 ↑ (3.89)	4.72 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
57.1%

Draw
23.3%

Montedio Yamagata
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

29.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Shimizu S Pulse - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 28. Yoshida Y. 13. Miyamoto K. 36. Uno Z. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K.	1. Goto M. (G) 15. Kawai A. 22. Shirowa H. 5. Abe T. 6. Yamada T. 7. Takae L. 8. Konishi Y. 88. Doi S. 42. Issaka Z. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
5. Kitazume K. 71. Nakamura R. 16. Nishizawa K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 32. Takagi S. 99. Tanque D. 21. Yajima S.	23. Fujishima E. (G) 41. Goto Y. 18. Minami S. 19. Okamoto K. 40. Sakamoto K. 14. Sakamoto K. 36. Takahashi J.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
65', Uno Z. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
71', Lucas Braga ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
74', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
74', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
74', Disaro A. S. ↓, Goto Y. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Kitagawa K. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Takahashi J. ⚽, Sakamoto K. (A),
80', Kawai A. ↓, Okamoto K. ↑,
84', Carlinhos ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
85', Kitagawa K. ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
86', Takagi S. 🟨,
87', Yoshida Y. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Goto M. ⚽, Konishi Y. (A),
90+1', Yamada T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 2.

Shimizu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montedio Yamagata in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shimizu to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
06.10.24	Mito HollyHock - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Fujieda MYFC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
18.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWWW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
06.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ehime - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Montedio Yamagata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
07.09.24	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0
24.11.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
09.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:0
03.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
11.09.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:1
26.03.16	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
Japan J1 League
07.11.15	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2

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