Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.87
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.28	3.4	2.8
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.4	3.51	3.02
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.33	3.36	2.91	Watch
	2.31	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.49)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	2.9 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
40.1%

Draw
27.9%

Freiburg II
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	26.3%	26.3%

Zwickau - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Freiburg II will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwickau: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Zwickau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTLW
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:3 ✺
01.10.22	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Freiburg II - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
05.03.22	Freiburg II - Zwickau	1:0
26.09.21	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:0

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