Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Schultes T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.15	3.25	2.18
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.23	3.58	2.25
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.08	3.58	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	3.39 ↓ (3.39)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
30.5%

Draw
27.3%

Osnabrück
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Zwickau - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1.

Zwickau is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwickau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osnabrück will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLLT
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
31.10.22	Osnabrück - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
15.10.22	Osnabrück - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Dynamo Dresden - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.03.22	Zwickau - Osnabrück	1:3
02.10.21	Osnabrück - Zwickau	0:1
09.03.19	Osnabrück - Zwickau	3:0
23.09.18	Zwickau - Osnabrück	0:1
08.04.18	Zwickau - Osnabrück	1:1
28.10.17	Osnabrück - Zwickau	4:0
13.05.17	Zwickau - Osnabrück	1:0

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