Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Zwolle		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.52
	2.77	3.65	2.55
	2.74	3.54	2.47	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.7	3.59	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.95)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.53 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
35.2%

Draw
27.1%

Groningen
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Groningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	26.3%	36.8%

Zwolle - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Groningen will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.29) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 5. Velthuis T. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Buurmeester Z. 9. Namli Y. 25. Oosting T. 7. Shoretire S. 10. Kostons K.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. (C) 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 17. van der Werff D. 18. Land T. 14. Schreuders J. 7. Hernes T. 10. Taha Y. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
48. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 19. Faberski J. 34. Fichtinger N. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 18. Velanas O. 41. Verduin D. (G)	24. Baron D. (G) 22. Bouland S. 8. de Jonge T. 44. Dillema J. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Taha Y. 🟨,
30', Thomas R. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
33', Schreuders J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
63', Hernes T. ↓, de Jonge T. ↑,
66', Oosting T. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
80', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
80', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Kostons K. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
86', Namli Y. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
86', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
90+2', Mercera T. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Muscle Injury) Monteiro J. (Muscle Injury) Schendelaar J. (Thigh Injury) Voute D. (Knee Injury) van der Haar D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Groningen: Hernes T. (Injury) Vaessen E. (Injury) Zawada O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	3	15
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.21% Zwolle: 0.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Utrecht - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zwolle - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTLL
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Volendam - Groningen	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Twente - Groningen	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Groningen - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Groningen - Zwolle	2:2
18.05.25	Zwolle - Groningen	2:0
08.12.24	Groningen - Zwolle	0:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Zwolle - Groningen	0:0
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.22	Zwolle - Groningen	1:1
03.12.21	Groningen - Zwolle	1:1
16.05.21	Zwolle - Groningen	1:0

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