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Current Win Probability
Twente 62.2%
Draw 21.4%
Groningen 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
24.1%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
23.6%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.4%
17.2%
10.3%
Twente - Groningen Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 54.7% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Twente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. (C) 23. Lemkin S. 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Lammers S.
1. Vaessen E. (G) 2. Prins W. 3. Blokzijl T. 16. Mercera T. 43. Peersman M. 17. van der Werff D. 18. Land T. 6. Resink S. (C) 14. Schreuders J. 10. Taha Y. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.
22. Bouland S. 7. Hernes T. 4. Janse D. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 48. Kelder R. 27. Mendes R. 34. Metu R. 5. Rente M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
van den Brom J.
Lukkien D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', van der Werff D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Peersman M. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Rots D. ⚽, Lemkin S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Hlynsson K. ⚽,
66', van der Werff D. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
66', Prins W. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
66', Land T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
76', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
77', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
78', Mercera T. 🟨,
83', Schreuders J. ↓, Bouland S. ↑,
84', Mercera T. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
86', Hlynsson K. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
86', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
90', Rots M. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
Twente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Groningen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Twente is the team to beat.
There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M.
(Groin Injury)
de Jonge T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Twente: Propper R.
(Injury)
van Wolfswinkel R.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
Netherlands
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Unnerstall L. (G) 
van Rooij B. (C) 
Lemkin S. 
Zerrouki R. 
Hlynsson K. 
Orjasaeter S. 
Vaessen E. (G) 
Mercera T. 
Peersman M. 
Taha Y. 
Peixoto G. 
Pjaca M. 
Tyton P. (G) 
Weidmann D. 
Stubljar L. (G) 
van der Laan E. 
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