The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá 41.6%
Draw 30.1%
Moto Club de São Luís 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.1%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
27.1%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águia de Marabá's performance.
Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moto Club de São Luís might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia de Marabá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moto Club de São Luís could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Águia de Marabá - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Águia de Marabá will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Águia de Marabá: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Gileard ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Gileard ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Águia de Marabá is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Moto Club is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Águia de Marabá will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
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