The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Örebro 34.9%
Draw 28.9%
Mjällby 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
29.3%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
21.3%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mjällby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
18.7%
14.6%
Örebro - Mjällby Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 32 - 66.7%). Mjällby will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Örebro: 53.4% – 80%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation).
Örebro has the most likely position - 16 (21.25%), has project points - 29, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mjällby has the most likely position - 15 (13.92%), has project points - 30, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Örebro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mjällby has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Örebro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.