Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Čukarički		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.15	2.32	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.15
	3.19	3.28	2.28
	3.2	3	2.1	Watch
	3.06	3.24	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čukarički
29.3%

Draw
29.3%

Hammarby
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

21.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Čukarički that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hammarby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	54.2%	37.5%

Čukarički - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Čukarički will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Hammarby will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location - Stadion Partizana.

Čukarički is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hammarby is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Čukarički could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Čukarički have a series of home games.

Hammarby will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Čukarički
Serbian Superliga
01.08.21	Čukarički - Metalac	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Sumgayit - Čukarički	0:2 ✺
21.07.21	Čukarički - Sumgayit	0:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.07.21	Čukarički - Voždovac	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Čukarički - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWT
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.08.21	IFK Östersunds - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Maribor - Hammarby	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.07.21	Hammarby - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Hammarby - Maribor	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.07.21	Örebro - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW

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