Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.25
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.65	3.2
	2.17	3.51	2.99
	2.25	3.74	3.04
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.24	3.56	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
43.1%

Draw
26.5%

Sporting Lisbon
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

21%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.9%	15.9%	39.1%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 31 - 44.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 27 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 33.2% – 56.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
24.02.20	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.02.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
09.02.20	Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
23.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
15.02.20	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1

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