Match Info

Date: 20 February 2020, Thursday


	Sporting Lisbon		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8
	2.05	3.3	3.8
	2.15	3.33	3.65
	2.06	3.21	3.53
	2.1	3.36	3.68
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	2.05	3.48	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.92)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	3.72 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
46%

Draw
28.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	9.4%	22.7%

Sporting Lisbon - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 128 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 87 - 68%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 29 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 59.9% – 76.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
15.02.20	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
27.01.20	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
21.01.20	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
14.02.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
09.02.20	Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
21.01.20	Kırklarelispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLT

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