Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 16

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Family
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.65
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.77
	2.59	3.5	2.77
	2.38	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.48	3.46	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.03)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	2.68 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
37.3%

Draw
27.6%

Zagłębie Lubin
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.4%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ŁKS Łódź's performance.

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

ŁKS Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ŁKS: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 26. Szeliga B. 2. Gulen L. 88. Marciniak A. (C) 3. Tutyskinas A. 16. Dani Ramirez 14. Mokrzycki M. 24. Louveau A. 20. Janczukowicz P. 9. Tejan K. 21. Juric S.	22. Weirauch S. (G) 27. Kludka B. 2. Kopacz B. (C) 5. Lawniczak A. 55. Mata L. 6. Makowski T. 8. Dabrowski D. 77. Wdowiak M. 16. Buletsa S. 21. Pienko T. 90. Kurminowski D.
Substitutes
99. Arndt D. (G) 6. Balongo N. 8. Dankowski K. 5. Flis M. 37. Glowacki P. 11. Hoti E. 28. Lorenc M. 4. Monsalve N. 23. Sliwa M.	39. Bohar D. 1. Buric J. (G) 7. Chodyna K. 13. Grzybek M. 3. Kirkeskov M. 18. Munoz J. 25. Nalepa M. 20. Poletanovic M. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Fornalik W.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 7).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in ŁKS: Letniowski J. (Injury)

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Dioudis S. (Red Card)

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	ŁKS Łódź - Piast Gliwice	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.11.23	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.10.23	ŁKS Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:5 ✺
21.10.23	Lech Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	5:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.11.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.10.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
27.10.21	ŁKS Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.06.20	Zagłębie Lubin - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
04.03.20	ŁKS Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	3:2
30.09.19	Zagłębie Lubin - ŁKS Łódź	3:1
24.03.12	ŁKS Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2

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