Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Zagłębie Lubin		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.92	Watch
	2.39	3.42	3.04
	2.34	3.46	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.36	3.35	3.04	Watch
	2.33	3.28	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	2.89 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
40%

Draw
27.9%

Radomiak Radom
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 31. Orlikowski I. 25. Nalepa M. (C) 4. Michalski D. 35. Lucic L. 26. Kolan J. 39. Kocaba F. 16. Corluka J. 44. Regula M. 18. Radwanski A. 17. Szabo L.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. 5. Blasco J. 26. Dieguez A. 20. Joao Pedro 2. Camara I. 6. Baro R. 82. Luquinhas 27. Wolski R. (C) 7. Lopes V. 25. Maurides
Substitutes
8. Dabrowski D. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 9. Kosidis M. 7. Kowalczyk S. 5. Lawniczak A. 84. Ligocki J. 99. Popielec C. 19. Sypek J. 11. Wozniak A.	21. Balde E. 16. Cichocki M. 77. Donis C. 75. Jerke M. (G) 28. Kaput M. 14. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 19. Soumah S. 15. Tapsoba A. 17. Zabicki A. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Baltazar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Regula M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
40', Joao Pedro 🟨,
41', Dieguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
46', Baro R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
57', Radwanski A. 🟨,
61', Leandro 🟨,
64', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
68', Lopes V. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
73', Radwanski A. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
73', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
77', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
86', Luquinhas ↓, Balde E. ↑,
86', Camara I. 🟨,
88', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
88', Corluka J. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
90+5', Buric J. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Yakuba R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Lawniczak A. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Zaglebie: 1.65% Radomiak Radom: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:3 ✺
02.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Radomiak Radom - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1
29.09.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	1:0
28.04.24	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	3:4
29.10.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	2:3
06.03.23	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1

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