Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	7	4.2	1.46
	6	4	1.53	Watch
	7.79	4.63	1.45
	7.79	4.63	1.44
	7	4.2	1.4
	6.49	4.74	1.44	Watch
	6.4	4.25	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (4.9)	4.43 ↑ (3.95)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
13.7%

Draw
21.3%

Raków Częstochowa
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

22.8%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.3%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	6.2%	62.5%

ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Raków will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 4. Mammadov R. 18. Durmisi R. 24. Louveau A. 70. Balic H. 16. Dani Ramirez 14. Mokrzycki M. 26. Szeliga B. (C) 20. Janczukowicz P.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 30. Kochergin V. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. C. 11. Yeboah J. 27. Nowak B. 19. Crnac A.
Substitutes
99. Arndt D. (G) 6. Ceijas T. 5. Flis M. 37. Glowacki P. 11. Hoti E. 30. Koprowski O. 22. Labedzki J. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 9. Tejan K.	23. Barath P. 89. Bieszczad K. (G) 21. Drachal D. 15. Kovacevic A. 22. Masiak K. 17. Myszor J. 66. Papanikolaou G. 33. Pestka K. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Matysiak M.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Tudor F. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
42', Balic H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
65', Szeliga B. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
69', Dani Ramirez (Pen),
74', Bobek A. 🟨,
77', Yeboah J. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
83', Mlynarczyk A. 🟨,
86', Nowak B. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
86', Berggren G. ↓, Papanikolaou G. ↑,
86', Balic H. ↓, Glowacki P. ↑,
90+1', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
90+1', Kochergin V. 🟨,
90+4', Dani Ramirez ↓, Koprowski O. ↑,
90+4', Tejan K. 🟨,
90+7', Papanikolaou G. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

ŁKS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Raków have a series of guest games.

In this match Raków is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
28.02.24	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Pogoń Szczecin - ŁKS Łódź	4:2 ✺
18.02.24	ŁKS Łódź - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.03.24	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.02.24	Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
02.11.23	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
14.07.20	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	3:2
07.06.20	Raków Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:1
26.10.19	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	2:0
Polish Division 1
27.04.19	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	2:0
24.10.18	Raków Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:1

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