Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Śląsk Wrocław		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.33
	1.65	3.95	4.45
	1.7	4.05	4.65
	1.85	3.64	3.96	Watch
	1.64	4	4.54
	1.7	3.8	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	3.89 ↑ (3.63)	4.38 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
54.7%

Draw
24%

Stal Mielec
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Śląsk (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 3. Szota S. (C) 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 81. Sokolowski P. 29. Jezierski J. 70. Kozak M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 24. Sharabura Y. 91. Banaszak P.	1. Matys M. (G) 27. Diez A. 44. Puerto I. 15. Senger M. 22. Kavcic M. 10. Domanski M. (C) 18. Wlazlo P. 20. Szeliga B. 9. Losada M. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 25. Fucak K.
Substitutes
4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 47. Klimek A. 11. Marjanac L. 33. Matsenko Y. 9. Warchol D. 15. Yriarte J.	33. Bukowski A. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 3. Kowalik P. 5. Matynia H. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 11. Odolak K. 6. Pisek J. 77. Sadlocha K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Banaszak P. (Pen),
21', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Szota S. ⚽, Sharabura Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Llinares M. 🟨,
59', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
61', Szeliga B. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
63', Kozak M. 🟨,
68', Kozak M. ↓, Marjanac L. ↑,
68', Kavcic M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Fucak K. ⚽, Domanski M. (A),
76', Losada M. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
76', Fucak K. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
76', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Halimi B. ↑,
83', Sharabura Y. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
83', Sokolowski P. ↓, Matsenko Y. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 2.

Śląsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stal Mielec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Śląsk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
04.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWW
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
03.10.25	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.25	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.25	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	1:4
23.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	2:1
16.02.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	0:1
12.08.23	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1
18.03.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	1:1
03.09.22	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0
15.05.22	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1

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