Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Ślęza Wrocław		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.6	2
	2.92	3.6	2.05
	2.84	4.05	2
	3.35	4.01	1.86	Watch
	2.91	3.68	2.07	Watch
	2.95	3.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.71)	3.77 ↑ (3.66)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ślęza Wrocław
30.6%

Draw
24.1%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ślęza won 2.

Ślęza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zagłębie 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ślęza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ślęza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ślęza Wrocław
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Carina Gubin	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Ślęza Wrocław	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Sparta Katowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
31.08.25	Kluczbork - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
09.04.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2
04.09.21	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:2
08.05.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1
03.10.20	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
14.09.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1
30.03.19	Ślęza Wrocław - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
25.08.18	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	1:0

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