Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 34

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Victoria Sulejówek

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.58	3.85	2.15
	2.58	4.26	2.15	Watch
	2.47	4.05	2.19	Watch
	2.58	3.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	3.92 ↑ (3.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
35.5%

Draw
23%

Victoria Sulejówek
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

24.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

24.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Victoria Sulejówek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Sulejówek than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Yampol A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Wisniewski K. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 3.

Świt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoria Sulejówek has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Świt won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.05.25	Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
21.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWT
- Victoria Sulejówek
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Victoria Sulejówek	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Legia II - Victoria Sulejówek	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.11.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:5
06.06.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.11.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:2
27.04.19	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
09.09.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	3:0
09.06.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1

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