Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Wasilków		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.92
	3.02	3.39	2.14	Watch
	3.08	3.46	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.9)	3.54 ↓ (4.1)	2.02 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasilków
29.5%

Draw
25.6%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

21.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wasilków's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wasilków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wasilków - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Wasilków has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jagiellonia II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Wasilków has had a series of away games.

Jagiellonia II might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jagiellonia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wasilków won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Broń Radom - Wasilków	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wasilków	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Wasilków - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.03.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wasilków	5:0

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