Match Info

HNL - Round 33

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Gorica		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.1	1.4
	6.5	4.75	1.42
	6.3	4.55	1.43
	6.27	4.85	1.44
	5.94	4.82	1.44	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.48	4.75	1.41	Watch
	5.4	3.9	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↓ (6.45)	4.53 ↑ (4.18)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
15%

Draw
20.4%

Dinamo Zagreb
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.1%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 45. Peric S. 4. Filipovic J. 19. Cabraja M. 22. Trontelj Z. 8. Pozo I. 36. Kavelj A. 25. Bogojevic B. 10. Prsir J. (C) 50. Erceg A. 24. Pavicic D.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 15. Galesic N. 26. McKenna S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 27. Misic J. (C) 14. Soldo M. 71. Bakrar M. 10. Vidovic G. 11. Hoxha A. 9. Beljo D.
Substitutes
7. Bakic O. 32. Durakovic E. 64. Epailly T. 18. Fiolic I. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 5. Les M. 21. Moustapha H. I. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 11. Sule W. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	4. Bennacer I. 19. Cordoba J. 36. Dominguez S. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 3. Goda B. 21. Lisica M. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 7. Stojkovic L. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 16. Torrente R.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Hoxha A. ⚽, Misic J. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Prsir J. ⚽, Kavelj A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', McKenna S. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
62', Beljo D. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
62', Soldo M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
65', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
66', Prsir J. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
68', Hoxha A. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
77', Misic J. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
78', Bogojevic B. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
78', Erceg A. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
80', Dominguez S. 🟨,
90', Pavicic D. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Bakrar M. ⚽, Dominguez S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.

In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Zajc M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
27.04.26	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Gorica	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Hajduk Split - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
26.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Dinamo Zagreb	1:4 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	3:6
Croatian HNL
01.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	4:2
01.12.25	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
14.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:2
23.04.25	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0
15.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	3:1
09.11.24	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2

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