The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valletta 30.3%
Draw 29.3%
Floriana 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
29.1%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
27.7%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.
Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Floriana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Floriana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valletta - Floriana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 28. Brewer S. 33. Mbende E. 98. Mendoza J. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 77. Thaylor 50. Yuri
23. Cioletti G. (G) 94. Areias R. 3. Beerman M. 14. Kurtalic A. 88. Mbong P. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
29. Adebayo A. 1. Archibald J. (G) 3. Ellul M. 5. Formosa Z. 13. Frendo L. (G) 80. Grech M. P. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 44. Micallef N. 20. Yankam Y. 8. Zammit A.
4. Antonio Lara 99. Attard D. 9. Dervisagic K. 8. Grech J. 19. Jah M. 15. Mabea K. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 11. Scerri Z. 27. Vella Newell Z.
Coaches
Micallef T.
Portela D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Mbong P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borg S. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
65', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
65', Areias R. ↓, Jah M. ↑,
65', Brewer S. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
81', Mbong P. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Vella D. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
97', Yuri ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
102', Tavares D. 🟨,
102', Mendoza J. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
103', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
115', Maringa Adilson ↓, Archibald J. ↑,
115', Thaylor ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
118', Scerri Z. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 2.
Floriana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Valletta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Floriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
Malta
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Maringa Adilson (G) 
Azzopardi J. 
Brewer S. 
Mbende E. 
Mendoza J. 
Radic S. 
Tavares D. 
Thaylor 
Cioletti G. (G) 
Kurtalic A. 
M'Mombwa C. 
Varela F. 
Adebayo A. 
Archibald J. (G) 
Meijer S. 
Jah M. 
Mabea K. 
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