Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	TV3
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
International	Onefootball


	Žalgiris		Petrovac

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.10	5.25	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.00	Watch
	1.35	4.60	9.00
	1.43	4.71	6.22
	1.60	3.03	8.60	Watch
	1.38	4.65	5.90
	1.42	4.60	6.58	Watch
	1.45	4.40	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	4.3 ↓ (4.73)	6.72 ↓ (7.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
64.5%

Draw
21.6%

Petrovac
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.3%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Petrovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrovac than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Žalgiris - Petrovac Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Žalgiris (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 18. Sesplaukis D. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 20. Lytvynenko I. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 10. Golubickas P. 19. Bilenkyi S. 9. Jarusevicius G. 11. Petkovic N.	25. Kordic M. (G) 33. Boljevic D. (C) 44. Merdovic M. 5. Kapisoda A. 22. Miranovic D. 10. Carevic N. 8. Bakic D. 17. Arambasic S. 30. Janjic N. 7. Selimi T. 11. Vukcevic I.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 6. Capan M. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 7. Mihajlovic N. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M. 70. Teixeira B. 5. Turda G. 13. Upstas K. 27. Vareika M. 22. Verbickas O.	14. Balevic N. 20. Divanovic Z. 9. Djordjevic B. 2. Dragovic V. 27. Fabris D. 18. Ficovic S. 23. Gjelaj R. 1. Licina S. (G) 29. Pesukic D. 99. Strikovic V.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Dragicevic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bosancic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Janjic N. ↓, Strikovic V. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Petkovic N. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Merdovic M. 🟨,
62', Bakic D. ↓, Divanovic Z. ↑,
62', Miranovic D. ↓, Pesukic D. ↑,
65', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Capan M. ↑,
65', Petkovic N. ↓, Vareika M. ↑,
70', Vukcevic I. ↓, Ficovic S. ↑,
72', Jarusevicius G. ↓, Mihajlovic N. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Mihajlovic N. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
79', Bilenkyi S. ↓, Antal L. ↑,
79', Franke D. ↓, Mamatsashvili S. ↑,
81', Carevic N. ↓, Fabris D. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Selimi T. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

Žalgiris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Petrovac has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of away games.

In this match, Žalgiris is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Žalgiris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Petrovac - Žalgiris	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.26	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
28.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLW
- OFK Petrovac
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Petrovac - Žalgiris	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Mačva Šabac - Petrovac	0:0 ✺
22.06.26	Mladost Lučani - Petrovac	1:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Petrovac - Budućnost Podgorica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Petrovac - Žalgiris	1:3

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