Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: China Smash - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Patrick Franziska		Hugo Calderano

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.33
	3.47	1.26
	3.65	1.22
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	2.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.01)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 73.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Franziska
27.9%

Hugo Calderano
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

78.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Franziska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hugo Calderano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Franziska than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrick Franziska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Calderano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Calderano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patrick Franziska - Hugo Calderano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:36

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Preview

Franziska has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Calderano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Calderano for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Franziska has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 2.5:3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Franziska
Table Tennis
06.10.26	Patrick Franziska - Licen Yuan	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Anders Lind - Patrick Franziska	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Patrick Franziska - Darius Movileanu	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Patrick Franziska - Truls Moregard	2:3 ✺
11.08.26	Thibault Poret - Patrick Franziska	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLL
- Hugo Calderano
Table Tennis
05.10.26	Jaehyun An - Hugo Calderano	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Hugo Calderano	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Hugo Calderano - Truls Moregard	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Hugo Calderano - Anton Kallberg	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sora Matsushima - Hugo Calderano	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
13.09.25	Hugo Calderano - Patrick Franziska	4:2
25.10.24	Patrick Franziska - Hugo Calderano	3:2

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