Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Adam Walton		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.33	1.63
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
43.4%

Adrian Mannarino
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	0%	90.2%

Adam Walton - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Adrian Mannarino will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adrian Mannarino will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 81. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70.

Recent form of Walton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mannarino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Walton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Mannarino will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Walton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Adam Walton - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Montpellier
08.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
22.02.25	Adrian Mannarino - Adam Walton	0:2

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