Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Adrian Mannarino		Martin Damm

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.61
	2.33	1.68
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
42%

Martin Damm
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	0%	72%

Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Damm will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Damm (votes: 12 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Damm (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Damm (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 6 - 30%). Damm (votes: 14 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70. Damm is ranked ATP: 160.

Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Damm is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Damm could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Damm will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Damm - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Remy Bertola - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Rinky Hijikata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- Martin Damm
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Martin Damm - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Martin Damm - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Clement Tabur - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW

Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide