Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montpellier 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	15:30	Veikkaus TV


	Adrian Mannarino		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.15	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.78
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
44.2%

Arthur Gea
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Gea (votes: 8 - 47.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 50%). Gea (votes: 9 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70. Gea is ranked ATP: 168.

Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gea is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Remy Bertola - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Rinky Hijikata	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
02.02.26	Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Mpetshi Perricard G. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
19.01.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Gea	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Arthur Gea - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 ??LWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ignacio Buse	✺

Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide