Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alexis Galarneau		August Holmgren

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	2.01
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
51.1%

August Holmgren
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 201. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 185.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Galarneau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.26	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gabriel Debru - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	August Holmgren - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	August Holmgren - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0
29.01.26	Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren	2:1

Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide