Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Adam Walton		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.46
	1.59	2.33	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.39	Watch
	1.55	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)	2.44 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
61.1%

Luciano Darderi
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adam Walton's performance.

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adam Walton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Adam Walton - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walton: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 89. Darderi is ranked ATP: 61.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Adam Walton - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Adam Walton - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Adam Walton - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Jaime Faria - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WL?LL

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