Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Adrian Andreev		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.88
	1.89	1.89
	1.98	1.86
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.01)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
49.5%

Jelle Sels
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Andreev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Adrian Andreev - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Andreev will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Sels will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreev: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Andreev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Mattia Bellucci - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
14.11.22	Jay Clarke - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Adrian Andreev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Stefano Travaglia - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
10.10.22	Adrian Andreev - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
17.11.22	Raul Brancaccio - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
15.11.22	Vit Kopriva - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Jelle Sels - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Benoit Paire - Jelle Sels	Paire B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLL?

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