Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Marcos Giron		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.07
	1.42	2.84	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	2.91 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
67.3%

Adrian Mannarino
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Marcos Giron - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Mannarino (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Mannarino (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 4 - 50%). Mannarino (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 57. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 93.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Giron is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giron won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Jaume Munar - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
01.07.25	Marcos Giron - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Marcos Giron - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Marcos Giron	1:2
ATP Dallas
10.02.24	Marcos Giron - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
02.02.21	Adrian Mannarino - Marcos Giron	0:2

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