Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Luka Pavlovic		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.22	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
57.4%

Adrian Mannarino
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Pavlovic (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Mannarino (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 23.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luka Pavlovic will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luka Pavlovic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Mannarino (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 295. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 134.

Pavlovic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mannarino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches