Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.71
	2.17	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
43.5%

Matteo Berrettini
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adrian Mannarino - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Berrettini will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Berrettini (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Berrettini (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Berrettini (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 60. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 56.

Mannarino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.59%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWW?
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jaume Munar - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Matteo Berrettini - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
26.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
15.01.18	Matteo Berrettini - Adrian Mannarino	0:3

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