Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.58	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
59.9%

Jesper De Jong
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jesper De Jong will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mannarino could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Jiri Lehecka	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Ben Shelton - Adrian Mannarino	Shelton B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?LL?
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?LLW

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