Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.16	Watch
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.27	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.16)	3.26 ↓ (4.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
71.1%

Dalibor Svrcina
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalibor Svrcina's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Matteo Berrettini - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Svrcina will win (votes: 17 - 81%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svrcina: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dalibor Svrcina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 57. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 99.

Svrcina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Svrcina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
26.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Casper Ruud	Berrettini M. retired ✺
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LW?W?
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Timofey Skatov	Skatov T. retired ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?LWW

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