Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Adrian Mannarino		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.73	1.5
	2.73	1.51
	2.5	1.53
	2.53	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.1)	1.51 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
36.5%

Tomas Machac
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Adrian Mannarino - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Machac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.24	Marcos Giron - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - James Duckworth	Duckworth J. retired ✺
08.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Yoshihito Nishioka	Mannarino A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL??
- Tomas Machac
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Tomas Machac - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Tomas Machac - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

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