Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Referee: Rask C. (Den)


	Adrian Mannarino		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
			Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
43.2%

Yannick Hanfmann
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 58. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 126.

Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hanfmann is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mannarino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
18.10.25	Adrian Mannarino - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Adrian Mannarino - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LLWL
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Tibo Colson - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Mallorca
30.06.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Adrian Mannarino	0:2

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